Tag: backtesting
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From Backtest to Production: A Sequential Validation Workflow
A backtest can show whether a trading idea might work. It cannot show whether the strategy is ready for production. Most strategies fail because the validation process stops too early. A system that looks stable in historical simulation may still break when exposed to unseen data, live market conditions, or real execution environments. For this…
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The Backtest Isn’t the Strategy: Where Edge Disappears in Live Trading
A backtest is not a strategy. A backtest is a measurement under a set of assumptions – many of which quietly fail the moment you go live. In crypto spot and futures, the gap between a beautiful curve and a real system is usually not one big mistake. It’s a stack of small, compounding mismatches: costs, fills,…