Tag: forecasting
-
Why We Don’t Forecast (Much): Robustness > Predictions
Most trading content starts with a prediction. Ours usually starts with a constraint. Crypto spot and futures markets are noisy, reflexive, and regime-driven. The hard part isn’t producing a confident view – it’s building a system that survives when the view is wrong, the data is messy, and execution is worse than the backtest implied.…